Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.132690 2.444681 2.787899 3.193729 3.660836 4.182046 4.808344
2025-08-03 1.723599 2.139745 2.636152 3.272965 4.069831 5.036173 6.300313
2025-08-10 1.377738 1.830026 2.407971 3.202866 4.271527 5.663886 7.624606
2025-08-17 1.099841 1.549096 2.158513 3.049228 4.324394 6.094058 8.753837
2025-08-24 0.928435 1.377800 2.020762 3.013139 4.516488 6.725143 10.246715
2025-08-31 0.792238 1.232023 1.892130 2.962241 4.668330 7.307701 11.748513
2025-09-07 0.723478 1.174937 1.883330 3.085408 5.095504 8.359213 14.135072
2025-09-14 0.649750 1.097713 1.829673 3.124795 5.387359 9.228098 16.349796
2025-09-21 0.575312 1.007806 1.741270 3.090019 5.543421 9.883149 18.286398
2025-09-28 0.501188 0.907715 1.621172 2.980655 5.547833 10.265649 19.776925
2025-10-05 0.476111 0.891108 1.644486 3.131498 6.045636 11.608361 23.283066
2025-10-12 0.453541 0.875726 1.667157 3.282505 6.562130 13.053837 27.213322
2025-10-19 0.426103 0.849478 1.669749 3.402751 7.052076 14.551793 31.576779
2025-10-26 0.393101 0.807997 1.637605 3.449316 7.400605 15.819711 35.683732
2025-11-02 0.350086 0.740386 1.544150 3.354657 7.435414 16.430768 38.440424
2025-11-09 0.305795 0.664205 1.422961 3.182552 7.273268 16.583967 40.161855
2025-11-16 0.277806 0.619609 1.363337 3.138789 7.395859 17.400262 43.622507
2025-11-23 0.252136 0.576804 1.302084 3.082376 7.479854 18.138055 47.019476
2025-11-30 0.242121 0.568447 1.317322 3.208767 8.025665 20.077037 53.874412
2025-12-07 0.227168 0.546522 1.298225 3.248679 8.361391 21.543464 59.737177
2025-12-14 0.209024 0.514575 1.251206 3.211869 8.493786 22.506162 64.383592
2025-12-21 0.188432 0.474008 1.178128 3.097723 8.403955 22.864956 67.368862
2025-12-28 0.184029 0.473850 1.206005 3.254497 9.077430 25.417402 77.334198